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May 2009 Rankings

Posted by Brian Shiau at 6:20AM on June 10, 2009

Check out the complete May 2009 rankings.



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July Monthly Sales Futures

Posted by Brian Shiau at 6:06AM on June 10, 2009

July Monthly Sales Futures for software are making their debut tomorrow. Remember, there are new rules regarding Monthly Software Futures. If a game does not finish in NPD Group's Top 10, the game will cash out at the sales of the #10 title.

You will be able to buy or short sell the Futures and GLS stock at a fixed price for 48 hours. This allows all players equal access to the future's IPO regardless of the time they log on. After 48 hours, the futures will trade as normal. All players, regardless of Basic or Advanced trading mode, will be able to participate in the IPO. All players are limited to 250,000 DKP positions in the IPO phase.

NCAA Football 10 will have Xbox 360 and PS3 GLS stocks IPOing on June 11 and 12. Fight Night Round 4 (Xbox 360) GLS stock was suggested by sagexsdx and will debut on June 13.

Certain games receiving Monthly Sales Futures were suggested by Electronic Entertainment Design and Research (EEDAR). The games selected should have a 95% chance of making the Top 10 each month.





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Texas Holdem Odds Calculator

Posted by Nick Warden at 12:05PM on May 26, 2009

When you are playing in a live poker game, you can’t really whip out a poker calculator and that is too bad, because no matter where you are in your poker career, a poker odds calculator can really help you improve your results. Fortunately, if you are playing online, using a poker odds calculator is not only permissible and legal, it’s easy and fun. There are advanced calculator such as Texas Calculatem and simpler ones like the Texas Holdem odds calculator at Learn-Texas-Holdem.com

What Can You Learn From a Poker Odds Calculator?

The LTH.com odds calculator will not necessarily teach you anything specifically, but it can provide instant statistics that can be extremely useful in your online poker games. You might be able to calculate your odds of hitting that gutshot plus overcard and how it matches up with the pot odds, but why waste valuable time when a poker odds calculator can do it for you? All you have to do is take a glance at the heads up display overlaying your online poker table and you’ll know everything you need to know to make the best decisions you can make.

Who Is Using a Poker Odds Calculator?

Who uses poker odds calculators? Anyone who wants to gain an edge in their online poker games, which should be everyone. With the current economy and restrictions on United States players, online poker is getting tougher and tougher. There are more good players and fewer fish. To stay ahead of the curve, you need to accumulate every little edge you can. A poker odds calculator, by making sure you don’t make erroneous calculations and providing information instantly so you can focus on making good decisions, gives you some of that edge you need.



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Delistings for May 2009

Posted by Brian Shiau at 7:20PM on May 17, 2009

The following stocks are candidates for delisting. These stocks were chosen for delisting due to inactivity in the stock and/or lack of discussion for an extended period of time. Delisting stocks is necessary to unlock DKP for trading and concentrate DKP in the stocks people are trading.

All shares will cash out at the last traded price. This price is determined as the fair value as the market has not viewed the price as undervalued or overvalued for some time. These stocks will no longer appear when browsing the genres and platforms pages. You will still be able to view the stocks' pages by searching for the games.

If you feel any of the following should not be delisted due to an upcoming event (such as the game has not yet been released in all regions), please make a case and post in this forum by 11AM on Wednesday, May 20. A stock price that you are not happy with is not grounds for continued listing.

GLS Stocks pending delisting:
Harvest Moon: Tree of Tranquility (Wii)
Sid Meier's Civilization Revolution (PS3)
Sid Meier's Civilization Revolution (Xbox 360)
SOCOM: Confrontation (PS3)
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed (Xbox 360)
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed (PS3)
Tom Clancy's EndWar (Xbox 360)
Tom Clancy's EndWar (PS3)
Mortal Kombat vs DC Universe (Xbox 360)
Mortal Kombat vs DC Universe (PS3)



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April 2009 Rankings

Posted by Brian Shiau at 6:48PM on May 17, 2009

We apologize for the delay in reporting April 2009 Rankings. The rankings for the month were:

Check out the complete April 2009 rankings.



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July & August Console Futures IPO

Posted by Brian Shiau at 6:38PM on May 17, 2009

July & August Console Futures will be IPOing this week.

You will be able to buy or short sell the Futures at a fixed price for 48 hours. This allows all players equal access to the future's IPO regardless of the time they log on. After 48 hours, the futures will trade as normal. All players, regardless of Basic or Advanced trading mode, will be able to participate in the IPO. All players are limited to 250,000 DKP positions in the IPO phase.





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April 2009 NPD Data

Posted by Brian Shiau at 3:35PM on May 14, 2009

Video game hardware sales in April 2009 significantly underperformed market expectations again. Total hardware units (excluding PS2) sold were 1.8 million, 8.12% worse than the market's expectation for 1.96 million units sold. Every console except the Nintendo DS underperformed their respective expected sales. The Nintendo DS was an outlier due to the release of the new DSi model.

Anita Frazier of NPD Group commented, "the NDS platform accounted for 31 percent of total industry unit sales this month across all categories. Also notable is the performance of the PS2 which is now at the budget-friendly price point of $99.  Compared to March 2009, the PS2 sales rate almost doubled when comparing the two months on a same-week basis.  This is a testament to the impact a price reduction can have on hardware acquisition, with price being only second to compelling new content as a catalyst for hardware sales."

Growth in video game sales was once again negative year-over-year. Total video game software sales contracted a massive 23% from $660.1 million in April 2008 to $510.74 million. Traders on the simExchange prediction market expected $611.6 million in sales.

"While April sales might appear soft on the surface, it's important to remember that April is being compared against a month (April 2008) that realized nearly 50 percent growth over April 2007.  This year's performance still represents the second-best performance for the industry in the month of April, besting April 2007, which is the previous second-place holder, by 26 percent," says Frazier.

She continues: "Despite being compared against last year, when several big title releases drove both software sales and hardware acquisition, April 2009 was down only 5 percent on a unit sales basis, with the remainder of dollar sales decline coming from reduced average selling prices.  Easter fell in April this year which undoubtedly helped cushion the decline."

The market also tracked the sales of Halo Wars (Xbox 360), which did not make the top 10. The Monthly Sales Future will cash out at 9.10 DKP.

The following tables compare market expectations on the simExchange and actual results as reported by the NPD Group.

  • US Hardware in April 2009

    TitleActual unitsExpected units% From Expected
    Nintendo DS 1,040,000 845,100 +23.06%
    Nintendo Wii 340,000 484,000 -29.75%
    Xbox 360 175,000 283,400 -38.25%
    PLAYSTATION 3 127,000 185,200 -31.43%
    PlayStation Portable 116,000 159,300 -27.18%
    PlayStation 2 172,000 -- --
    Total Hardware Units 1,798,000 1,957,000 -8.12%


Where do the expected sales numbers come from?

The simExchange is the video game stock market. Gamers and developers sign up on the simExchange for a free trading account. Using fantasy money, players buy virtual stocks in video games they believe are under-predicting sales and short sell stocks they believe are over-predicting sales. This concept is widely known as "the Wisdom of the Crowd" and this system is known as a "prediction market." Sign up and play today.

About the predictions

Predictions on the simExchange should become more accurate over time as (1) the diversity of the pool of traders increases and as (2) more accurate players are rewarded with more virtual currency for their accuracy (thereby enabling them to form more predictions) and less accurate players lose virtual currency (thereby discounting their ability to form more predictions).



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June 2009 Monthly Sales Futures

Posted by Brian Shiau at 10:58PM on May 3, 2009

June Monthly Sales Futures for software are making their debut tomorrow. Remember, there are new rules regarding Monthly Software Futures. If a game does not finish in NPD Group's Top 10, the game will cash out at the sales of the #10 title. Games receiving Monthly Sales Futures are suggested by Electronic Entertainment Design and Research (EEDAR). The games selected should have a 95% chance of making the Top 10 each month.

You will be able to buy or short sell the Futures and GLS stock at a fixed price for 48 hours. This allows all players equal access to the future's IPO regardless of the time they log on. After 48 hours, the futures will trade as normal. All players, regardless of Basic or Advanced trading mode, will be able to participate in the IPO. All players are limited to 250,000 DKP positions in the IPO phase.

Games receiving Monthly Sales Futures are suggested by Electronic Entertainment Design and Research (EEDAR). The games selected should have a 95% chance of making the Top 10 each month.



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May 2009 Monthly Sales Futures IPO

Posted by Brian Shiau at 10:03PM on May 3, 2009

May Monthly Sales Futures for software are making their debut tomorrow. Remember, there are new rules regarding Monthly Software Futures. If a game does not finish in NPD Group's Top 10, the game will cash out at the sales of the #10 title. Games receiving Monthly Sales Futures are suggested by Electronic Entertainment Design and Research (EEDAR). The games selected should have a 95% chance of making the Top 10 each month.

You will be able to buy or short sell the Futures and GLS stock at a fixed price for 48 hours. This allows all players equal access to the future's IPO regardless of the time they log on. After 48 hours, the futures will trade as normal. All players, regardless of Basic or Advanced trading mode, will be able to participate in the IPO. All players are limited to 250,000 DKP positions in the IPO phase.

Games receiving Monthly Sales Futures are suggested by Electronic Entertainment Design and Research (EEDAR). The games selected should have a 95% chance of making the Top 10 each month.

GLS stocks for X-Men Origins: Wolverine and UFC 2009: Undisputed (Xbox 360) will also IPO. The latter was submitted by Necron101 while the former submitted by X-Men Origins: Wolverine was submitted by KultofCows.



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GLS Stock IPOs for Week of April 27, 2009

Posted by Brian Shiau at 10:15PM on April 26, 2009

You will be able to buy or short sell Global Lifetime Sales (GLS) Stocks and Metacritic Futures at a fixed price for 48 hours. This allows all players equal access to the stock's IPO regardless of the time they log on. After 48 hours, the futures will trade as normal. All players, regardless of Basic or Advanced trading mode, will be able to participate in the IPO. All players are limited to 250,000 DKP positions in the IPO phase.

If you want a game listed for trading, be sure to bid for it in the Unlisted Games section.







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