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Delistings, Part 7

Posted by Brian Shiau at 2:58PM on November 14, 2007

The simExchange is continuing its consolidation of stocks listed for trading. The following stocks are candidates for delisting. These stocks were chosen for delisting due to inactivity in the stock and/or lack of discussion for an extended period of time.

All shares will cash out at the last traded price. This price is determined as the fair value as the market has not viewed the price as undervalued or overvalued for some time. These stocks will no longer appear when browsing the genres and platforms pages. You will still be able to view the stocks' pages by searching for the games.

If you feel any of the following should not be delisted, please make a case and post in this forum by 11PM on Monday November 19:

All Pro Football 2k8 (PS3)
All Pro Football 2k8 (Xbox 360)
Dirt (PS3)
Dirt (Xbox 360)
Dungeons & Dragons Tactics (PSP)
Guitar Hero II (Xbox 360)
NASCAR 08 (PS3)
NASCAR 08 (Xbox 360)
NCAA Football 08 (PS3)
NCAA Football 08 (Xbox 360)
SimCity (DS)
Tenchu Z (Xbox 360)
The Darkness (PS3)
The Darkness (Xbox 360)
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Advanced Warfighter 2 (PSP)
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Advanced Warfighter 2 (PS3)



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Assassin's Creed declines following reviews

Posted by Brian Shiau at 9:42AM on November 14, 2007

Ubisoft's much anticipated Assassin's Creed saw its stocks and futures take a hit yesterday following weaker than expected reviews. Market trading of the game's Metacritic Futures had expected a 95 Metascore for the Xbox 360 and a 96 Metascore for the PS3 version. As reviews of the game came in, Metacritic posted preliminary Metascores in the low 80s. The Metacritic future for the PS3 version dropped to as low as 80 before climbing back to 83.64, a 12.9% decline. The Xbox 360 version dropped to as low as 84.34 but managed to close at 88.10, a 7.7% decline. Metacritic is currently showing an 84 for both versions.

The lifetime global stocks were also hard hit. Assassin's Creed (Xbox 360) had been a high flyer, but shares dropped from 285.11 DKP down to a low of 216.19 DKP yesterday before closing at 233.46, an 18.1% decline. Shares continue lower today. Assassin's Creed (PS3) also declined, dropping 4.7% to 141.71 DKP. The lighter drop may be the result of a smaller rally in its shares compared with the Xbox 360 version leading up to the game's release. However, the NPD November Future for the PS3 version of Assassin's Creed only fell 1.2%, indicating that the market does not believe the lower reviews will affect initial sales as much. Many early customers may have already pre-ordered the game or already hit the stores before checking the reviews. Other implications of a smaller decline for the PS3 version may be that the title remains a strong value for PS3 gamers, while the Xbox 360 version faces stiff competition from many of the other games available on the platform.



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NPD will be supplying hardware sales data to settle futures

Posted by Brian Shiau at 10:09AM on November 12, 2007

A lot of users have been asking about what is going on with NPD. We intended to post about this briefly but forgot :). The story behind the whole saga is that NPD started disclosing hardware sales data last year as the console war was heating up. At the time, they got permission from the Big 3 (the hardware makers) to disclose the hardware sales temporarily. However, temporarily became indefinitely as NPD disclosed this data to the media every month.

Last week, NPD decided they wanted to make sure the hardware makers were still fine with NPD breaking out these numbers and put a hold on the hardware data releases. Although NPD was taking a hit on the PR front, they were looking out for their clients. It appears they were able to get approval from the hardware makers to continue disclosing the data and so we will still be getting hardware sales data to settle the NPD Futures.

So this wasn't a marketing stunt of any sort as some folks speculated. NPD was just making sure its partners were on board.



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October NPD Report and Futures Expiration

Posted by Brian Shiau at 9:03AM on November 12, 2007

The simExchange's October Preview Report is now up. The report covers:

  • Wii and Nintendo DS expected to lead their product groups
  • 40GB PS3 Model expected to increase sales
  • Activision expected to dominate the holidays
  • First-person shoots are cannibalizing each other's sales
  • Halo 3 sales not affected by PS3 hardware news or PS3 exclusives
  • Sony continues to struggle with its PS3 exclusives

NPD Futures for October will expire at the end of the day on Wednesday, November 14. NPD will be reporting October sales data the evening of Thursday, November 15 (after the stock market closes).

Our analyst Jesse Divnich recently participated in Game Informer's Holiday Analysis panel. Check out the report here.



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Rankings fixed

Posted by Brian Shiau at 4:33PM on November 8, 2007

The Net Worth Rankings and Your League are back online; however, the recorded data for November 7, 2007 reflects the stats as of November 8, 2007 at 4:30 Pacific rather than the close of November 7.



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Editing articles fixed

Posted by Brian Shiau at 1:04PM on November 8, 2007

The Your Articles page for reviewing all your article submissions and editing your articles has now been fixed. The limit for summaries has been expanded to 500 characters to reflect that change that was made to submissions previously. Problems in which special characters in the summary would result in an error should also now be fixed.



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NPD's data policy and what that means to you

Posted by Brian Shiau at 2:20PM on November 6, 2007

We understand the concerns users have expressed over today's news that the NPD Group will no longer be breaking out the usual monthly data. We want to assure you that there is no reason to panic at this time. We will not be expiring any contracts at 0 DKP. We have assurances that we will still get the 10 software titles we get each month from the NPD Group to settle the NPD Futures. We are in discussions regarding solutions for how we can still settle the hardware futures. Hang in there and we will keep you updated.



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Upcoming IPOs for Week of November 5

Posted by Brian Shiau at 2:40PM on November 5, 2007

We are now launching a slate of stock IPOs for games coming out in 2008. These stock IPOs will also have Metacritic Futures to accompany them, except only the Xbox 360 version of will have a Metacritic future.

Remember, each stock enters a 48-hour IPO Phase 1 in which there is no market maker providing prices. Once a market price is established, players can buy at the same price all day in IPO Phase 2.

If you want a game listed for trading, be sure to bid for it in the
Unlisted Games section.

November 7, Wednesday: Nintendo's Mario Kart (Wii). The games were submitted by pilias_simber and argon.

November 8, Thursday: Blizzard's World of Warcraft: Wrath of the Lich King (PC). The game was submitted by Joe80.

November 9, Friday: Nintendo's Wii Fit (Wii). The game was submitted by pilias_simber.

November 10, Saturday: LucasArts' Star Wars: The Force Unleashed (Xbox 360), Star Wars: The Force Unleashed (PS3), Star Wars: The Force Unleashed (Wii). The games were submitted by Joe80 and Laoldar.

November 11, Sunday: Ubisoft's Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Conviction. The game was submitted by Joe80.



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January 2008 NPD Futures candidates

Posted by Brian Shiau at 12:53PM on November 5, 2007

We are now soliciting suggestions for games to list for January NPD Futures. These are likely games coming out in January that will be one of the top sellers for the January retail month, which runs from January 6, 2008 to February 2, 2008. As always, we are limited to listing 10 games as NPD Futures.



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The simExchange on Wikipedia

Posted by Brian Shiau at 12:47PM on November 5, 2007

A big thanks to Powertrade and Gaara42 for putting together an article on the simExchange on Wikipedia. Check out the ongoing article and contribute what you want. Remember, Wikipedia is an objective and neutral source of information, so please keep your additions to the article very facts-oriented.



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